News 12 Long Island Weather Extra
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Updated by Meteorologist Samantha Augeri at 7AM Wednesday December 31st.
A COLD start to New Years Eve! Temperatures are in the 20's and we'll be stuck near freezing this afternoon. Skies are mostly cloudy this morning with a few flurries possible. This afternoon will become mostly sunny and high pressure keeps dry air in place through the start of 2015. The big story approaching midnight will be cold temperatures and frigid wind chills. At midnight we'll be near 25 degrees with wind chills 10 to 15 degrees. It still quite cold tomorrow before temperatures rise heading into the weekend. Have a fun and safe New Years!
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Watch - A watch is generally issued in the 24 to 72 hour forecast
time frame when the risk of a hazardous winter weather event has
increased (50 to 80% certainty that warning thresholds will be met). It
is intended to provide enough lead time so those who need to set their
plans in motion can do so. A watch is issued using the WSW Winter
Weather Message product and will appear as a headline in some text
products such as the Zone Forecast. It will change the color, as shown
in the table below, of the counties on the NWS front page map according
to what type of watch has been issued.
Blizzard Watch:
Conditions are favorable for a blizzard event in the next 24 to
72 hours. Sustained wind or frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35
mph will accompany falling and/or blowing snow to frequently reduce
visibility to less than 1/4 mile for three or more hours
Winter Storm Watch:
Conditions are favorable for a winter storm event (heavy sleet,
heavy snow, ice storm, heavy snow and blowing snow or a combination of
events) to meet or exceed local winter storm warning criteria in the
next 24 to 72 hours. Criteria for snow is 7 inches or more in 12 hours
or less; or 9 inches or more in 24 hours covering at least 50 percent of
the zone or encompassing most of the population. Use "mid-point" of
snowfall range to trigger a watch (i.e 5 to 8 inches of snow = watch).
Criteria for ice is 1/2 inch or more over at least 50 percent of the
zone or encompassing most of the population.
Blizzard Warning:
Blizzard event is imminent or expected in the next 12 to 36
hours. Sustained wind or frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35 mph
will accompany falling and/or blowing snow to frequently reduce
visibility to less than 1/4 mile for three or more hours.
Winter Storm Warning:
A winter storm event (heavy sleet, heavy snow, ice
storm, heavy snow and blowing snow or a combination of events) is
expected to meet or exceed local winter storm warning criteria in
the next 12 to 36 hours. Criteria for snow is 6 inches or more in
12 hours or less; or 8 inches or more in 24 hours covering at least
50 percent of the zone or encompassing most of the population. Use
"mid-point" of snowfall range to trigger warning (i.e 5
to 8 inches of snow = warning). Criteria for ice is 1/2 inch or more
over at least 50 percent of the zone or encompassing most of the population.
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Crippling And Potentially Historic Blizzard To Impact The Area From Late Monday Into Tuesday...
...Blizzard Warning In Effect From 1 Pm Monday To Midnight Est Tuesday Night...
The National Weather Service In New York Has Issued A Blizzard
Warning...Which Is In Effect From 1 Pm Monday To Midnight Est Tuesday
Night. The Blizzard Watch Is No Longer In Effect.
* Locations...New York City And Surrounding Immediate Suburbs...Long Island...And Most Of Southern Connecticut.
* Hazard Types...Heavy Snow And Blowing Snow...With Blizzard Conditions.
* Accumulations...Snow Accumulation Of 20 To 30 Inches...With Locally
Higher Amounts Possible. Snowfall Rates Of 2 To 4 Inches Late Monday
Night Into Tuesday Morning.
* Winds...North 30 To 40 Mph With Gusts 55 To 65 Mph...Strongest Across Eastern Long Island.
* Visibilities...One Quarter Mile Or Less At Times.
* Temperatures...In The Lower 20s.
* Timing...Light Snow Will Begin Monday Morning...With Accumulations Of 1 To 3 Inches Possible By The Evening Rush.
Snow Will Pick Up In Intensity Monday Evening...With The Heaviest Snow
And Strongest Winds From About Midnight Monday Night Into Tuesday
Afternoon.
* Impacts...Life-Threatening Conditions And Extremely
Dangerous Travel Due To Heavy Snowfall And Strong Winds...With Whiteout
Conditions. Secondary And Tertiary Roads May Become Impassable.
Strong Winds May Down Power Lines And Tree Limbs. -
forecast update by meteorologist rich Hoffman at 6:15am Monday January 26th 2015
TODAY: Blizzard Warning starts at 1pm. Cloudy skies. Light snow and flurries through noon, 1-2" possible. Noon through 8pm. Light to moderate snow, 2-4" possible. Highs near 30. Winds Northeast 10-20 gusts 30 mph. Sunset: 5:03pm.
TONIGHT: Blizzard Warning. Cloudy skies. Moderate to Heavy Snow(2-4" per hour). Thundersnow. Strong Winds - North/Northeast 20 to 40 mph gusts to 60. 12 to 20 inches of snow by morning. Lows near 24. Blowing and drifting snow, drifts 3 to 4 feet. Travel will be dangerous. Wind Chills in the single digits.
TOMORROW: Blizzard Warning. Cloudy skies. Moderate to Heavy Snow in the morning tapering to light snow by afternoon. Strong Winds - North/Northwest 20 to 40 mph gusts to 50. 20 to 30 inches of snow by afternoon. Highs near 24. Blowing and drifting snow, drifts 3 to 5 feet. Travel will be dangerous. Wind Chills in the single digits. Overnight will be partly to mostly cloudy with some light snow and flurries. Breezy. Winds North 15 to 25 mph. blowing and drifting snow. Dangerous travel conditions. Lows near 18. Wind Chills zero to 10 degrees.The below Maps show a break down of the storm. The worst of the weather will be 1am to 10am Tuesday with Heavy Snow and wind gusts 40 to 60 mph. Snow drifts 3 to 5 feet, extremely dangerous travel. Snowfall rates 2-4 inches per hour.
Snow starts to taper during the afternoon.
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Forecast update by meteorologist rich Hoffman at 6:15am Monday January 26th 2015
TODAY: Blizzard Warning starts at 1pm. Cloudy skies. Light snow and flurries through noon, 1-2" possible. Noon through 8pm. Light to moderate snow, 2-4" possible by 8pm. Highs near 30. Winds Northeast 10-20 gusts 30 mph. Sunset: 5:03pm.
TONIGHT: Blizzard Warning. Cloudy skies. Moderate to Heavy Snow(2-4" per hour). Thundersnow. Strong Winds - North/Northeast 20 to 40 mph gusts to 60. 12 to 20 inches of snow by morning. Lows near 24. Blowing and drifting snow, drifts 3 to 4 feet. Travel will be dangerous. Wind Chills in the single digits.
TOMORROW: Blizzard Warning. Cloudy skies. Moderate to Heavy Snow in the morning tapering to light snow by afternoon. Strong Winds - North/Northwest 20 to 40 mph gusts to 50. 20 to 30 inches of snow by afternoon. Highs near 24. Blowing and drifting snow, drifts 3 to 5 feet. Travel will be dangerous. Wind Chills in the single digits. Overnight will be partly to mostly cloudy with some light snow and flurries. Breezy. Winds North 15 to 25 mph. blowing and drifting snow. Dangerous travel conditions. Lows near 18. Wind Chills zero to 10 degrees.The below Maps show a break down of the storm. The worst of the weather will be 1am to 10am Tuesday with Heavy Snow and wind gusts 40 to 60 mph. Snow drifts 3 to 5 feet, extremely dangerous travel. Snowfall rates 2-4 inches per hour.
Snow starts to taper during the afternoon. -
Update By Meteorologist Rich Hoffman at 730am January 28th 2015
Recap of Blizzard and Scroll Down to See Snowfall Totals
So was the Storm a Blizzard - From National Weather Service - http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?letter=bBlizzard- Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 miles an hour or greater; and
- Considerable falling and/or blowing snow (i.e., reducing visibility frequently to less than ¼ mile)
(abbrev. BLZD)- A blizzard means that the following conditions are expected to prevail for a period of 3 hours or longer:
forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
Highest numbers for Long Island
Yes, BLIZZARD for Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport (KISP) - See below image
ORIENT 30.0"SOUTHAMPTON 29.0"MATTITUCK 26.9"MEDFORD 25.6"ISLIP AIRPORT 24.8"Snow in New England -- A lot of records for snowfall - Snowfall totals hit 36" aka 3 feet and winds 50 to 76 mph. - Click below link for Snow Totals and Wind Gusts
Thank You everyone for your reports. Til next storm, Meteorologist Rich Hoffman -
Update at 8am Tuesday February 3rd by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
The concept of the Storm was correct - Snow - Mix to Rain - Back to Mix and end as Snow.
What we got right - the first batch of snow, 1-3 inches south shore and 3 to 5 inches on the north shore. The timing of snow to Mix to rain was also correct in the morning between 5am and 9am.
What we got wrong - the timing of the rain back to mix and snow. The storm was a touch further south than forecast and stronger quicker than forecast. This led to a North wind quicker than expected. The north wind allowed Arctic air to move back over Long island 5 hours ahead of schedule. We started to see a change back to Mix and Snow from Rain around 10am. From 10am to 2pm, we had moderate Freezing rain and Sleet. This icy mess covered roads and everywhere became a sheet of ice. Around 2pm, the north wind was able to make the entire atmosphere cold enough to change any mix to just plain snow. We knew it was going to snow again, but the intensity of the snow, wow, it came down fast and furious. News12 meteorologists where thinking 1-2 inches, but we had 3 to 5 inches. The combination of snow, mix/rain and snow again with temperatures in the 20s made for very dangerous and icy roads.
This storm shows you can have a lot of the ideas of a storm correct, but the conditions can vary greatly by the time the storm is done. The devil is in the details. Weather is not a perfect science - it is always changing. We do the best we can.Here is link to snowfall reports for Monday February 2nd
The weather pattern over the next 10 days looks to be very active.
TODAY: Morning clouds giving way to Mostly Sunny Skies. Very Cold. Highs near 24. Normal High is 39. Winds West-Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Sunrise: 7:01am. Sunset: 5:13pm.
TOMORROW: Some morning flurries or snow shower possible. Mostly Cloudy skies. Not as Cold. Highs near 39. Winds Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Overnight will be cloudy with light snow towards morning. Some snow accumulation possible. Lows near 26.THURSDAY: Cloudy skies with light snow. Early morning highs of 30 to 35 and then temperatures dropping to 25 to 30 by the afternoon. 1 to 3 inches of snow possible. Overnight will be partly to mostly cloudy. Frigid. Lows 5 to 10. Wind Chills 5 below to 5 above.
Look at the below image - A cold front will bring some light snow and much colder weather by Thursday afternoon into Friday.Below map shows the Snowfall along the East Coast for Thursday - Be Alert.
We have another threat for Snow Sunday night into Monday - Tracking another Coastal Storm.
MONDAY: Tracking a coastal storm. Cloudy skies with snow. Windy. Snow accumulation possible. Highs near 33. Overnight will be mostly cloudy with some snow showers. Lows near 24.
Look at the below map - The Red L is Low pressure, tracking that L south of Long Island - A storm that close to Long Island could bring more plowable snowfall.
I will talk more tomorrow about the ECMWF Model and GFS Model and how they are looking at the storm.Be Safe and Stay Warm. best wishes Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
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Forecast updated at 1pm on Friday February 6th 2015 by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
The News12 Weather Team is tracking a few areas of Low Pressure that will impact Long Island Saturday through Tuesday. I think the worst problems will be Monday morning and late Monday into Tuesday.
Saturday: Increasing clouds. Skies becoming mostly cloudy by afternoon. Some flurries and light snow. Snow accumulation Coating to 1" Highs near 35. Winds West-Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night will be cloudy with a little wintry mix, some light snow mix with sleet, and freezing rain. Roads could become a little Icy. Lows near 26.
SUNDAY: Tracking Low pressure which will bring us a wintry mix. Any change in the track will change forecast - a move south means more snow. A move north means more wintry mix and rain. Cloudy skies with a light snow or wintry mix. Best chance will be in the afternoon and evening hours. Most of the moisture looks to be light at this point. Even a little bit of ice can cause issues. Highs 35 to 40.
The below weather map is the GFS model for Sunday at 1pm. It shows a little break in the action. The issue will be the track of the RED L in the Ohio valley - if it tracks north of LI we get more mixing and rain. If the low tracks south more Snow and freezing rain.The below map is our RPM Model and snow the Wintry Mix moving towards Long Island.
The below map is GFS model at 1am Monday - Notice the pink color on Long Island - It's a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain.
Below Map Is GFS forecast temperatures at 1am Monday.
Sunday Night: Cloudy with a wintry mix, snow-sleet-freezing rain. 1 to 3 inches of snow/mix accumulations. Lows 26 to 30.
MONDAY: Tracking Storm - a shift in storm track and intensity will change forecast. Cloudy skies with snow, mixing with sleet and freezing rain. South Shore may even go to a plain rain at times. Some Snow and Ice Accumulation. Highs 32 to 37
I am a little concerned with the ice threat for Monday Morning.The below map shows temperatures during the morning rush hour. These temperatures and precipitation would lead to icy roads.
Below Weather map is RPM model and shows a moderate to heavy wintry mix Monday Morning. We could have snow and ice accumulation.
Below map is GFS model at 1pm - Long Island has rain, and just north in Connecticut has moderate to heavy snow. If the Red L (low pressure) in Maryland was further south or stronger it would bring in cold air over Long Island and we would see a lot more snow.GFS model at 7pm Monday is showing a snow-wintry mix and rain for east end. Colder air is wrapping back around the storm and this is our transition period back to all snow.
Below is the Storm snowfall total GFS Model from Weatherbell.com What you see is a lot of moderate to heavy snow North of Long Island. Example Albany is near 12". Long Island shows very little snow to near 5 inches in the Bronx. Notice only 25 miles north of the North Shore of LI it says 10 inches of snow. Any change in track of storm, could lead to more snow for Long Island.
Monday evening into Tuesday morning as the Storm moves to the east, the winds change to the North-Northeast and that will allow cold air to return to Long Island. In this time frame we could pick up a few inches of snow.
The exact track of the storm and the depth of Cold air will place a huge roll in our Long Island Forecast. It is Possible we have a repeat of last Monday. Snow to mix to rain, to freezing rain and end as snow. We know what a mess that was. Be prepare for icy roads Sunday Night into Monday Morning. -
Updated by Meteorologist Samantha Augeri at 1PM Sunday. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Long Island tonight through Tuesday morning. The only change to our Storm Watch forecast this afternoon is that precipitation looks to be a little bit more spotty in nature and on the lighter side. That being said, all it takes is a thin coating of ice to create dangerous conditions on our area roads - and up to .25" of ice is in the forecast.
TONIGHT
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Long Island starting at midnight. A light wintry mix of freezing drizzle and freezing rain will develop from 9 PM to Midnight. Expect a mix of freezing rain, sleet, and wet snowflakes overnight into tomorrow morning. A coating of ice is possible by daybreak making for dangerous travel. Lows near 28 degrees. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
MONDAYA Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Long Island. Expect a wintry mix of freezing rain and wet snowflakes from 6AM to noon. Conditions will be slick for the morning commute. From noon to 6PM there will be freezing rain, sleet, and snow on the North Shore with rain mixing in on the South Shore and East End. It will be icy through the day on the North Shore with .25" of ice possible. Highs near 34 degrees. From 6PM to midnight the wintry mix will change to light snow as temperatures fall below freezing. Expect a coating to 2 inches of snow on top of ice overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. Lows near 24 degrees.
TUESDAY Icy in the morning with a light wintry mix ending. Becoming partly sunny during the afternoon with highs near 33. Lows near 19.
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Update by meteorologist Rich Hoffman 5pm Sunday February 8th 2015,
Tracking a low that will move south of Long Island the next 24 hours. There is an very strong Arctic High pressure near Hudson Bay in Canada. The North to Northeast wind flow will allow that arctic air to move south to near Long Island. The cold air will be in a battle with warm air to the south and cold air to the north. This is why we will have a freezing rain situation. Cold air will sink to the ground and the mid levels of the atmosphere will go above freezing. We have learned that even a small about of ice can be worse than 6 inches of snow. You can see in the below image, how the warm layer melts the snow and then re-freezes at the ground.Since Friday it looked like the chances for a major snow went out the window with because of the warm air at the mid levels of the atmosphere. The problem with this storm is also the timing. Icy conditions even a small amount can make the morning rush hour very dangerous. With freezing rain situations, the conditions on the road can change in a very short time.
Because of the freezing rain threat the National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather advisory from midnight to 6am Tuesday. Advisory in Purple and winter storm warning in Pink where more than 6 inches of snow will fall.Here are the temperature forecasts for 7am Monday. You can see how cold it is and why ice is a real threat. Here is the ECMWF (euro model) - Notice the temperatures in the 20s and low 30s. So whatever does fall to the ground with freeze and be icy.
Here is the GFS model -- temperatures in the 20s and 30s. which again would mean anything that hits the ground will freeze.
Here is the Ice forecast from the National Weather Service -
You can see the forecast Ice totals - from .12" to almost .20" This amount can make the roads icy and dangerous.
The below weather map is for Monday 7pm, You can see the orange color over
Long Island - that would be a mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain.
As the storm does move around temperatures will become colder through
all layers of the atmosphere and we will see precipitation turn back to
all snow.Look at the forecast temperatures for 7pm Monday - here is the ECMWF (euro) model - notice 20s and 30s. Below freezing for most areas of LI - you can see why we can a big threat of icy as most of the day temperatures will be below freezing.
Here is the GFS model for 7pm monday - Notice this model is colder than ECMWF.
Remember last Monday how the cold air came in faster than forecast and we got a quick burst of snow around 2 to 5 pm and we have 2 to 5 inches of snow - that is possible again Monday night into Tuesday.
Be alert for changing weather conditions - the atmosphere is always changing. We could have an icy morning rush hour and a snowy and icy evening rush hour. Remember an a small amount of ice can create issues. SLOW DOWN when driving - SUV's and Cars can not stop on ICE.
So to recap: now through Monday 6am, spotty rain showers, mixed with freezing rain.
6am to 10am. Temperatures will range from 27 to 34. Periods of rain, freezing rain, snow and sleet. Icy roads with .10 to .15 ice accumulation. Best chance for ice and any snow would be areas north of the LIE and closest to the Long Island Sound.
10am to 4pm: Scattered areas of freezing rain, plain rain on areas of the south shore and pockets of snow and sleet. With colder air moving back over Long Island - some spots especially North Shore could go back to all snow.
4pm to 10pm: Pockets of Freezing, rain, sleet and snow - Temperatures 27 to 32. Watch for ice roads. Ice accumulation .10 to 15" possible with 1 to 3 inches of snow - possible higher amounts on the north shore. If cold air comes in faster and storm intensifies quicker we could get a quick thump of snow like last Monday.
10pm to 6am Tuesday: Pockets of light snow, sleet and freezing rain or drizzle. Temperatures 20 to 27. Watch for icy roads, remember even a small amount of moisture can create icy conditions.
NEWS12 LONG ISLAND WILL BE LIVE AT 430AM MONDAY - You can get updates on News12 Long Island, Channel 612, and the News12 family of Apps. The weather app has a very good radar and you can see where the snow and ice is falling. The News12 Traffic app shows live traffic cameras to give you an ice how the roads are.
So yes roads will be icy through the day be alert and be careful. Watch for snow and ice. Be safe, Meteorologist Rich Hoffman.
BTW watching for snow late Thursday and very cold air on the way towards weekend. -
Forecast Update at 830am Monday - by meteorologist Rich Hoffman
TODAY: Winter Weather Advisory through 6am Tuesday. Temperatures this morning range from 22 to 29 degrees. On and Off wintry mix(snow, sleet and freezing rain) through the day. A small amount a precipitation can cause icy roads. Use caution and be alert for changing weather conditions. Winds Northeast 15 to 25 mph. Highs near 30. Sunset: 5:20pm.
TONIGHT: A Winter Weather Advisory through 6am Tuesday. A wintry mix and snow. Windy and cold. A coating to 3 inches of snow possible. Winds North-Northeast 15 to 25 mph. Watch for icy roads. Lows near 22.
TOMORROW: Some icy roads. Morning Clouds giving way to sunshine. Windy and Cold. Highs near 32. Winds North 15 to 20 mph. Wind Chills in the 20s.
We stay below freezing for the next 24 hours and it looks like we could stay below for the next 7 days. Any amount of precipitation today will freeze with temperatures holding steady through the day between 25 and 30.
Below you can see the temperatures at 830am. We have seen a lot of icy roads and accidents, along with flight delays.You can see in the below image we will have on and off snow, sleet and freezing rain through tonight.
Forecast high temperatures remaining below freezing. Any moisture will freeze. We will have some lulls in the weather, but even a drizzle can create icy roads.Lows tonight in the below map shows we will stay on the cold side. Some wintry mix ending as snow. Coating to 3 inches is possible. Be alert for icy roads and changing weather conditions.
We have the threat of another storm late Thursday into Friday. You can see the Red L, storm on Thursday. See map below.
As the storm moves past Long Island it will intensify Thursday Night into Friday and could give us a few inches of snow. We have to watch closely. The storm will also bring in the closest air mass of the year. You can see the coastal storm east of Boston.
THURSDAY: Increasing clouds, becoming cloudy by afternoon. Chance of snow by evening. Highs near 30. Tracking possible coastal storm. Overnight will be windy and cold. Scattered snow showers. Snow accumulation possible. Lows near 11. Wind Chills 5 below to 5 above.
FRIDAY: Partly Sunny, Breezy and Very Cold. Highs near 17. Overnight will have clear skies. Frigid. Lows 5 below to 5 above. Wind Chills 10 below to zero.
SATURDAY: Partly Sunny to mostly cloudy. Cold. Highs near 19. Overnight skies will be mostly cloudy. Lows in the single digits.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Highs near 19. Lows near 3.
Stay safe and be warm. Meteorologist rich hoffman -
Forecast Update Noon on Friday the 13th by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
The next 48 hours Long Island will have dangerously cold temperatures, powerful winds and parts of the area will have more than a half of foot of snow.
We had a record low of 9 degrees at Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport this morning breaking the old record of 11 set in 2003. We could have record lows the next 3 days.
HIGH WIND WATCH 12AM SUNDAY TO 6PM SUNDAY - WINDS SUSTAIND 25 TO 35 WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.TODAY: Sunshine and Frigid. Winds Northwest 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures 13 to 18. Wind Chills zero to 15 below. Sunset: 5:25pm. Normal High is 40.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear skies with some clouds towards morning. Frigid with record low. Record low is 7 set in 2003. Winds Northwest to west 5 to 10 mph. Lows zero to 7 (At Islip 6 degrees) . Feels like temperatures zero to 10 below.
TOMORROW: Winter Storm Watch posted from 1pm Saturday through 1pm Sunday for areas East of the William Floyd Parkway. Potential for more than 6 inches of snow. Single digit temperatures in the morning. Mostly Cloudy with light snow between 3 and 6pm. Highs 27-32. Winds South west 10 to 15 mph.
TOMORROW NIGHT: Cloudy skies with snow and gusty winds. Winds Northwest 20 to 30 mph gusting to 40 to 55 mph. Lows 5 to 12 degrees. Record low is 3. Wind Chills zero to 15 below. Watch for Blowing and drifting snow. Power outages likely. Travel early Sunday morning could be dangerous.
You can see the storm at 7pm saturday- redeveloping south of LI and this will explode into a major storm Saturday night into Sunday.
You see that orange dash line coming out the RED L - that is a trough - if that sets up over Long Island there could be a few hours of HEAVY SNOW - if this happens are snow totals will be much higher in the 6 to 12 inch range. Stay with News12 for updates.
SUNDAY: WINTER STORM WATCH through 1pm. HIGH WIND WATCH through 6pm. Cloudy skies with morning snow. Some snow could be heavy at times. Snow tapers off around Noon. Strong dangerous winds. Sustained Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph gusts 40 to 60 mph. Damaging winds and Power outages likely. Sun and clouds in the afternoon with temperatures between 13 and 18. Blowing and drifting snow. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below. Overnight skies will be mostly clear and frigid. Lows 5 below to 5 above. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below.
MONDAY: Record low is 8 set in 1987. Dangerously cold. Temperatures in the morning will be 5 below to 5 above. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below. Mostly Sunny and very cold. Highs near 22. Overnight will be clear and very cold. Lows 5 to 12 degrees.
Look at the maps below for Monday Morning. Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills. Frostbite in under 10 minutes.
Dress in layers and cover all exposed skin. Be Smart and Safe. Stay Warm.
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Forecast Update Noon on Friday the 13th by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
The next 48 hours Long Island will have dangerously cold temperatures, powerful winds and parts of the area will have more than a half of foot of snow.
We had a record low of 9 degrees at Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport this morning breaking the old record of 11 set in 2003. We could have record lows the next 3 days.
HIGH WIND WATCH 12AM SUNDAY TO 6PM SUNDAY - WINDS SUSTAIND 25 TO 35 WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH. Blizzard Conditions are possible during the 1st part of Sunday.TODAY: Sunshine and Frigid. Winds Northwest 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures 13 to 18. Wind Chills zero to 15 below. Sunset: 5:25pm. Normal High is 40.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear skies with some clouds towards morning. Frigid with record low. Record low is 7 set in 2003. Winds Northwest to west 5 to 10 mph. Lows zero to 7 (At Islip 6 degrees) . Feels like temperatures zero to 10 below.
TOMORROW: Winter Storm Watch posted from 1pm Saturday through 1pm Sunday for areas East of the William Floyd Parkway. Potential for more than 6 inches of snow. Single digit temperatures in the morning. Mostly Cloudy with light snow between 3 and 6pm. Highs 27-32. Winds South west 10 to 15 mph.
TOMORROW NIGHT: Cloudy skies with snow and gusty winds. Winds Northwest 20 to 30 mph gusting to 40 to 55 mph. Lows 5 to 12 degrees. Record low is 3. Wind Chills zero to 15 below. Watch for Blowing and drifting snow. Power outages likely. Travel early Sunday morning could be dangerous. Blizzard conditions possible.
You can see the storm at 7pm saturday- redeveloping south of LI and this will explode into a major storm Saturday night into Sunday.
You see that orange dash line coming out the RED L - that is a trough - if that sets up over Long Island there could be a few hours of HEAVY SNOW - if this happens are snow totals will be much higher in the 6 to 12 inch range. Stay with News12 for updates.
SUNDAY: WINTER STORM WATCH through 1pm. HIGH WIND WATCH through 6pm. Cloudy skies with morning snow. Some snow could be heavy at times. Blizzard conditions possible. Snow tapers off around Noon. Strong dangerous winds. Sustained Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph gusts 40 to 60 mph. Damaging winds and Power outages likely. Sun and clouds in the afternoon with temperatures between 13 and 18. Blowing and drifting snow. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below. Overnight skies will be mostly clear and frigid. Lows 5 below to 5 above. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below.
MONDAY: Record low is 8 set in 1987. Dangerously cold. Temperatures in the morning will be 5 below to 5 above. Wind Chills 15 to 25 below. Mostly Sunny and very cold. Highs near 22. Overnight will be clear and very cold. Lows 5 to 12 degrees.
Look at the maps below for Monday Morning. Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills. Frostbite in under 10 minutes.
Dress in layers and cover all exposed skin. Be Smart and Safe. Stay Warm. -
Updated by Meteorologist Samantha Augeri at 6AM Thursday morning the 19th.
The frigid weather is back! A wind chill advisory is in effect tonight through tomorrow morning.
TODAY: Windy and frigid with a mix of sun and clouds. Chance of a passing flurry this afternoon. Highs near 16 degrees. Wind chills near 5 degrees. The normal high today is 41. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph, gusting to near 30. Sunrise 6:41 Sunset 5:32
TONIGHT: Wind Chill Advisory. Mostly clear and frigid with lows near 4. the record low tonight is 9 set in 1996. Extremely cold wind chills of -5 to -17 degrees. You can get frostbite in about 10 minutes when it's this cold. West winds 15 to 25 mph gusting to 35.
FRIDAY: Wind Chill Advisory in the morning. It will feel as cold as -5 to -17 degrees. Mostly sunny with highs near 17. West northwest winds 10 to 25 mph. Mostly clear overnight with lows near 5. The record low is 10 set in 1993.
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Updated by Meteorologist Samantha Augeri on Friday at 1PM.
Record cold temperatures are likely again tonight with wind chills -5 to 0 degrees. The forecasted low is 6 and that would beat the previous record of 14 at Islip set in 1990. Temperatures rise into the teens by daybreak tomorrow as the wind switches to the south ahead of low pressure.
We are tracking a developing storm to bring snow changing to a wintry mix and rain late tomorrow into Sunday. Clouds thicken up quickly tomorrow morning with snow showers developing after 2PM ahead of a warm front. A quick thump of snow is possible for Long Island with 1 to 3 inches on the North Shore and a slushy coating on the South Shore. As temperatures rise above freezing, snow will change to a wintry mix and eventually rain overnight into Sunday. The changeover from a wintry mix to rain will occur first on the South Shore and then on the North Shore. A coating of ice is possible on top of snow along our North Shore Hills - travel will likely be icy.
Once the changeover to rain, rain may become moderate to heavy at times. By Sunday morning, temperatures are rising into the upper 30's - and into the low 40's by Sunday afternoon. The combination of snow melt and precipitation will likely lead to localized flooding due to snow and ice covered drains. Stay with us through the weekend for the latest updates.
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Shoreham 7.5” the high spot. Most areas Nassau County 4 to 6 inches, most areas in Suffolk County 4 to 7 inches.
NASSAU COUNTY...
Location ...Total, Time of report and who made the report
NEW HYDE PARK 6.8" 107 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER
LEVITTOWN 6.1" 856 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
BAYVILLE 5.8" 953 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
PLAINVIEW 5.8" 515 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER
ALBERTSON 5.5" 951 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
CARLE PLACE 5.4" 944 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
MASSAPEQUA 5.3" 1018 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
ROCKVILLE CENTRE 5.3" 1015 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
WANTAGH 5.2" 800 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
GLEN HEAD 5.0" 949 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
BETHPAGE 5.0" 903 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
BELLMORE 4.2" 648 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
MALVERNE 4.1" 810 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
SUFFOLK COUNTY...
SHOREHAM 7.5" 630 AM 3/02 NWS EMPLOYEE
SMITHTOWN 7.0" 1016 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
EAST NORTHPORT 7.0" 926 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
ORIENT 6.5" 600 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER
MATTITUCK 6.0" 1010 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
NORTH BABYLON 6.0" 933 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
PATCHOGUE 6.0" 748 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE
UPTON 5.9" 1019 PM 3/01 NWS OFFICE
RONKONKOMA 5.8" 1024 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE
MILLER PLACE 5.8" 1000 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
NORTH PATCHOGUE 5.8" 1000 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
MONTAUK 5.8" 800 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER
CENTEREACH 5.7" 1021 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE
FARMINGVILLE 5.7" 1040 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
ROCKY POINT 5.7" 630 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER
OAKDALE 5.6" 1010 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
ISLIP AIRPORT 5.6" 1200 AM 3/02 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER
MEDFORD 5.5" 948 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
CORAM 5.5" 1015 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
JAMESPORT 5.4" 1019 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
SOUND BEACH 5.4" 630 AM 3/02 PUBLIC
CENTERPORT 5.1" 1030 PM 3/01 NWS COOP
BAY SHORE 5.1" 1017 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
ISLIP 5.0" 848 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
WEST ISLIP 5.0" 751 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
SAYVILLE 4.9" 657 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE
SOUTHAMPTON 4.5" 1033 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
EASTPORT 4.5" 728 AM 3/02 NWS EMPLOYEE
MIDDLE ISLAND 4.1" 728 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
RIVERHEAD 3.8" 713 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
Link to snow totals forecast.weather.gov -
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A mild day is on tap for St. Patrick's Day with some rain showers in the morning. If you have plans to go to the parade in NYC, rain showers will be on the light side and come to an end shortly after noon. The afternoon will bring sunshine with a breeze, and highs in the 50's. Colder weather will get here tomorrow night into Wednesday. I hope you have some Irish fun!
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Some spots picked up close to 6 inches of snow! Here's a look at storm snow totals. The wintry mix has ended and we'll have some sunshine this afternoon with highs in the 40's. A cold front will pass by this evening bringing the chance of an isolated rain showers between 7 and 9PM. After that, skies clear out and a gorgeous day is on tap for Sunday. Temperatures will be cooler than normal but dry, quiet weather will follow us into the work week.
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Another clear, cold night with great visibility is coming up. If you missed it last night, look to the west at dusk! The Crescent Moon will be to the upper left of Venus. If you plan to take photographs, have your gloves and a heavier jacket. It still feels like winter out there. Enjoy.
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FORECAST BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN 1PM FRIDAY MARCH 28TH.
Yes, it is possible to have snow accumulation on Saturday. Last year we had snow through April 16th.SATURDAY: Mostly Cloudy. Breezy. Some scattered rain and snow showers. Some light snow accumulation possible. Best chance for snow will be East of Route 112. Winds Northwest 10 to 15 mph, gusts to 25. Highs near 38.
So why the Snow? A little ripple in the upper level of the atmosphere, also called a wave or trough, will swing through and there will be enough cold air and energy that will result snow showers. You can see the Orange Dash line on the below weather map, and the areas of blue over Long Island meaning snow. The weather map is for 8am Saturday.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a rain or snow showers early then skies becoming partly cloudy and cold. Some minor snow accumulation possible. Best chance for snow will be East of Route 112. Lows near 24.
The above map is for 8pm Saturday and the trough is moving away from LI and the snow treat is decreasing. So what could go right or wrong. If the trough (orange dash line) set up away from Long Island very little snow if any at time. If the trough set up over Long Island and stalls we could be looking at a 2 to 4 inch snow storm. Most of this action will be for Eastern Suffolk County. Something News12 Meteorologists will be watching closely.
The below weather maps will show weather conditions for Saturday into Sunday.
The above map shows the cold air over long island on Saturday with highs 35 to 40.
You can see the threat for snow showers through Saturday night.
With cold temperatures and any snow roads could be icy Saturday night.
Cold and dry weather to Start Sunday morning Temperatures in the 20s and look at map below wind chills in the teens.
Here are some computer models to give us an idea of how much snow is possible.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40 to 45.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow shower towards morning. Lows near 30.MONDAY: Partly Sunny. Chance of a few showers. Highs near 50.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows near 35.TUESDAY: Sun and Clouds. Highs near 50.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly Cloudy lows near 33.WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs near 48.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy with lows near 34.THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs near 52. Lows near 35.Have a great weekend.. Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
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Periods of snow will continue on this spring Saturday. Snow is mainly sticking to grassy surfaces and cars, but some roads in Suffolk County could become slick with temperatures in the 30's. Snow will taper off tonight with much better improvements ahead for Sunday. Watch for icy roads overnight with temperatures falling into the 20's. And YES... it will feel a little bit more like spring for this upcoming week. Have a great weekend!
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A chilly evening with a quick coating of snow possible early tonight. Low pressure passes south of Long Island early tonight bringing a rain show mix - possibly ending as all snow before midnight. Skies will clear towards morning but temperatures will fall to near freezing. Watch for icy spots during your early Wednesday morning commute. A beautiful day is on tap tomorrow with lots of sunshine but it will be a little bit breezy and chilly with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Temperatures will rise to near 60 degrees by Friday. Check out the graphics below for more details.
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Drier weather has arrived for the holiday weekend! High pressure is in place today with nice sunshine although it is windy with northwesterly winds gusting to near 45 mph. What about Easter Sunday? Most of the day looks fine, but if you have outdoor fun planned it would be good to get that in earlier in the day. it won't be as windy but maybe a little bit breezy at times for Eastern Suffolk County with winds out of the southwest up to 25 mph. A weak warm front will approach tomorrow afternoon bringing increasing clouds with the chance of rain showers after 2PM. Most of the day will be dry with highs in the low 50's - but that pesky warm front will stall out and stick around for most of the upcoming week with rain showers in the forecast. See the graphics below for more detail.
Please share any holiday photos with me @SamanthaAugeri on facebook, Twitter, or Instagram!
https://www.facebook.com/SamanthaAugeri12
https://twitter.com/SamanthaAugeri
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I hope everyone had a great weekend! We'll stay dry as we head into this evening, but it's cooler with east winds and clouds will continue to stream in and thicken up ahead of our next storm. We're tracking rain for Monday - and it will be heavy at times, especially from late morning into early afternoon. Showers should wind down for the evening before one last round of rain comes through early Tuesday morning. The weather gets brighter by Tuesday afternoon.
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FORECAST UPDATE BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN AT 1PM FRIDAY MAY 1ST.
The past 48 hours, we had some cooler than normal temperatures and now as we go into the weekend, the temperatures will start to rise.
TONIGHT: Mostly Cloudy. A little chilly. Winds Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Lows near 43.
SATURDAY: Sun and Clouds. Chance of a spot shower after 3pm. Winds East-Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows near 45.
SUNDAY: Mostly Sunny, a few afternoon clouds. Highs near 72.
LONG ISLAND MARATHON WEATHER: A little warm for some runners.
8AM Sunny, Temperatures near 50 degrees.
10am Sunny and temperature near 58
Noon: Mostly Sunny, Temperature near 65
1-2pm Mostly Sunny, temperatures 65-70.Sunday Afternoon Some clouds will develop and any showers should stay north and west of Long Island. We will keep an eye.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows near 52.MONDAY: Mostly Sunny. Warm. Highs near 74.MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows near 56.TUESDAY: Sun and Clouds. A few afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs near 76. Cooler shorelines.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 54.WEDNESDAY: Chance of a morning shower, otherwise sun and clouds. Highs near 72.WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows near 54.THURSDAY: Mostly Sunny Skies. Warm. Highs near 72.THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with lows near 48.Current Water Temperatures are running about 3 to 5 degrees below normal.
FORECAST UPDATE BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN AT 1PM FRIDAY MAY 1ST.
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A taste of summer to start off the work week for many, but temperatures will cool down just a little bit for hump day. A stalled out front is near Long Island separating warm air to the south from cooler air to the north. A few sprinkles or showers will be possible through early Wednesday afternoon with this front. During the afternoon skies will slowly clear with some sunshine and highs near 67. High pressure builds in by Wednesday night into Thursday, then we start another warming trend.
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Forecast Update at 9am Wednesday May 6th 2015 by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
It looks like the Tropical Season will start a little early this year. Tropical Season Runs from June 1st to November 30th, but storms can develop out of this time frame.
We have our first "Invest" area of the season near the Bahamas and South Florida coast. This means that the National Hurricane Center is investigating this area for potential development into a tropical or subtropical system. Once labeled an Invest, specialized computer models can be run on this area of interest, and Hurricane Hunter aircraft may be sent in to collect additional data.
Coastal hazards will include rough surf, high rip current threat and hazardous seas. A Small Craft Advisory has been posted for the Coast of Florida.
For low pressure to become a Tropical Storm we need a few ingredients.
One of the most important thing is water temperatures above 80 degrees. You can see in the below graphic that temperatures are near 80 degrees.
it looks like the storm will develop in water near 80 degrees, which is enough to provide an energy source for the storm to develop. A tropical storm develops when you have closed circulation and sustained winds at 39 mph or greater. At this point the storm is always given a name. The 1st name on the Tropical Cyclone list for 2015 is ANA - you can see list of storm names here - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtmlWhere will the storm go after it develops. Here is a look at the computer models
Local impacts for Long island, if any, would not be felt until Monday or Tuesday in the form of some rain showers. The storm will weaken and be absorbed by a cold front early next week.Here is a link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJydFJORWf4 - Formation of a Hurricane Video
For more information on tropical system - please visit the National Hurricane Center -
Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
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FORECAST UPDATE AT 8AM TUESDAY MAY 12TH BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
TODAY: Morning Clouds and Fog. A shower possible. This afternoon, Sun and Clouds, Warm and Humid. A shower or storm possible. Winds Southwest to West 10 to 20 mph. Highs near 82, 83 to 88 in Nassau County, 70 to 75 East End. Sunset: 8:00pm. Normal Average High is 68.
TONIGHT: Clear skies, and less humid. Winds West-northwest 5 to 10 mph. Lows near 55. Sunrise: 5:38am.
TOMORROW: Mostly Sunny skies with a few passing clouds. Windy. Winds Northwest 15 to 20 mph, gusts to 35. Highs near 68.
TOMORROW NIGHT: Clear skies. Lows Near 45.
THURSDAY: Mostly Sunny, breezy at times. Highs near 68.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows near 46.
FRIDAY: Sun and Clouds. Highs near 70.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a few showers. Lows near 50.
SATURDAY: Mostly Cloudy skies with scattered showers. Does not appear to be a washout out at this time, but hit and miss showers at any given point through out the day. Most of the showers will be on the light side. Highs near 70.
You can see the red line near Long Island, that is a Warm front - It will bring clouds and light showers on Saturday.Temperature map for Saturday.
You can see all the warm weather South of Long island. For Long island highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
if you are having a party outdoors you may need a Plan B because of the threat of showers, and a tent is always a good option. Better safe than Sorry.SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Lows near 55.
SUNDAY: Partly Sunny. Highs near 72.
The Storm System is now south and away from Long island. We will have some leftover clouds.
The above temperature map shows 80s and 90s South of LI. Long island will have highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Normal average high temperature for this weekend is 69 degrees.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly Cloudy. Lows near 55.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Mild. Highs near 72.
MONDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy. Lows near 52.FORECAST UPDATE AT 8AM TUESDAY MAY 12TH BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
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Sunday will be the better day for beaching and boating - but there aren't any advisories on the water this afternoon and we will be dry until this evening. Temperatures on the North Shore will be in the 70's. The South Shore and East End remain a tad cooler with winds off the water out of the southwest. We have seen a nice little spike in water temperatures with most buoys reporting temps near 55 degrees.
If you'll be boating, surfing, fishing, or just exercising on the beach, be sure to share your photos with me @samanthaaugeri on Facebook and Twitter.
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Long Island is classified as being in a moderate drought according to the US Drought Monitor. We've been quite dry since April, but for the month of May, Long Island is in a 2.50" rainfall deficit. Low pressure approaches tomorrow with the small chance of showers through Thursday. Most of the showers will fizzle out before they reach us - so it will barely put a dent in our totals for the month. It looks like we'll see a better chance of wet weather next week. Enjoy that sunshine and keep your sunblock handy!
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FORECAST UPDATE AT 10AM ON THURSDAY MAY 28TH 2015 BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
June 1st starts another Atlantic Basin Tropical Season -
May 24th to May 30th is Hurricane Preparedness week
1. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/
2. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/com/weatherreadynation/hurricane_preparedness.html#.VWdMq2OoquL
3. Red Cross - http://www.redcross.org/news/article/Hurricane-Season-Has-Arrived--Are-You-Ready
4. Nassau County - https://www.nassaucountyny.gov/1634/Hurricane-Preparedness
5. Suffolk County - http://scoem.suffolkcountyny.gov/OEM/HurricanePlanningandPreparation.aspxMeteorologists are calling for a below average season - but remember it just takes ONE to hit Long island or any place in the Untitled States to cause major damage. Here is Link to NOAA Hurricane report - http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2015/20150527-noaa-hurricane-outlook-below-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-likely-this-year.html - Here is link of Hurricane report from - Philip J. Klotzbach/William M. Gray and Colorado State University http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/
Tropical Storm Forms when winds reach 39 mph. Winds: Sustained 39-73 mph
Here are the Storm Names for 2015 - Storms are given names when wind speeds are sustained at 39 mph or greater. May 8th to 11th 2015, we had Tropical Storm ANA
Hurricane Winds: Sustained 74 mph or greater (Category 1)
Major/Intense Hurricane Winds: Sustained 111 mph or greater (Category 3 or higher)
How do Tropical Systems form? Watch Video- ANATOMY OF A HURRICANE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJydFJORWf4
The Saffir-Simpson Scale (Hurricane intensity scale) Category 3, 4 and 5 are considered Major Hurricanes.
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE
HURRICANE/TROPICAL SEASON FOR THE ATLANTIC BASIN STARTS JUNE 1ST through November 30th
-Tropical Systems and Hurricanes have hit Long Island for more than 300 hundred years and they will continue to impact Long IslandLast direct hit from Hurricane - Hurricane Gloria September 27th 1985 - http://www.hurricanes-blizzards-noreasters.com/HURRICANE-GLORIA.html
-National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc.noaa.gov/
The peak of Hurricane Season is around September 10th. For Long island, our peak has been around the 3rd week of September - Tropical Systems have hit Long Island from June through October. Sandy Hit October 28th 2012.
-Hurricane Sandy Information - http://www.weather.gov/okx/HurricaneSandy
-Local Tropical Weather Page - http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/tropical/index.php
-1938 Hurricane - http://www.hurricanes-blizzards-noreasters.com/1938HURRICANE.html
http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/38hurricane/
http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/html/hazards/storms_hurricanehistory.shtml
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FORECAST UPDATE AT NOON ON FRIDAY MAY 29TH 2015 BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
Last weekend of May looks like a 50/50 weekend with one day dry and one day looks a little wet. if you have outdoor plans this weekend Saturday better than Sunday. For Sunday, you should carry the rain gear and have a tent for any outdoor parties. Chance we could squeeze out some dry weather in the morning.
Here is a break down of the weekend forecast:THIS AFTERNOON: Mostly Sunny and Warm. Winds Northeast shifting to South 5 to 10 mph. Highs near 76. Sunset: 8:16pm.
TONIGHT: Skies becoming Cloudy. Areas of Fog, could be very dense on South Shore and East End. Winds Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Lows 57 to 63. Sunrise: 5:25am.
SATURDAY: Morning Clouds and Fog. Partly Sunny for the afternoon. Small Chance of a late day Shower or Storm. Winds Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Highs 73 to 78.
On the below weather map, you can see a cold front approaching from the Great Lakes.Clouds and Fog at 7am on Saturday.
Sunny Breaks on Saturday with highs in the 70s. South Shore and East End could have more clouds or hazy skies with fog through afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with fog. Chance for showers or thunderstorm. Lows near 64.
SUNDAY: Cloudy Skies. Periods of rain. Chance for thunderstorm. .50-1" of rain. Highs upper 60s to low 70s. Best chance for rain will be in the afternoon.
The below weather map shows rain developing on Sunday as the cold front nears Long island - best chance of showers and thunderstorms will be in the afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy, with periods of rain and fog. Lows near 56.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy skies, periods of rain. Breezy and cool. Highs 58 to 63. Rain Totals through Monday Night .75" to 1.50"
The Below Map show rain totals today through Monday - Most of the Rain coming Sunday into Monday
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 50 to 55.
TUESDAY: Mostly Cloudy skies with Scattered Showers. Highs 62 to 67. Overnight will be mostly cloudy with a few showers. Lows near 56.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly Sunny. Highs 73 to 78.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear with lows near 60.
THURSDAY: A mix of sun and clouds. Highs near 75. Lows near 58.
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UPDATE JUNE 18TH 1PM BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
A little unsettled as we head into the last weekend of Spring. A cold front will bring showers through early Friday afternoon. A cold front along with the remnants of Bill will bring clouds and showers late Saturday into Sunday. Summer starts on Sunday - scroll to the bottom to read more about summer.As of 11am on Thursday, here are the details on Bill. Heavy rain will move east with the storm and will impact Long Island into Father's day. The big question does the heavy rain move over Long Island or does it stay to the south for Sunday.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers. Winds South-Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Lows near 63.
FRIDAY: Morning Clouds and showers giving way to a mix of sun and clouds in the afternoon. Winds Northwest 5 to 15 mph. Highs 78 to 83.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear with lows 60 to 65.
SATURDAY: Sun and Clouds. More clouds in the afternoon. Threat of showers towards sunset. Highs 75 to 80.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67.
This map below shows rain totals through 8am Sunday
SUNDAY: Father's Day. Summer Solstice: Summer starts at 12:38pm. Mostly Cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some heavy rain is possible. Highs 75 to 80.
The below map shows an area of Low pressure south of LI, that is the remnants of Bill.
The below map shows rain total from 8am to 8pm Sunday
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with some showers and storms. Lows 65 to 70.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs near 83. Lows near 68.
The below map shows the cold front moving east of LI and we start to dry out.Here are the rain total from 8am Sunday to 8am on Tuesday from the HPC.
If the storms tracks very close to Long Island, we would see the higher rain totals on the order of 1 to 2.5" This would help to end with our drought situation. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?NY
TUESDAY: Sun and Clouds, chance of a late day thunderstorm. Highs near 80. Lows near 67.
WEDNESDAY: A mix of sun and clouds. Highs near 82. Lows near 65.
THE START OF SUMMER: The summer solstice starts when the sun's direct rays hit the Tropic of Cancer. This year Summer starts at 12:38pm E.D.T. June 21st
On June 21st the Northern Hemisphere receives the most daylight. For Long island at Islip, Sunrise is 5:22am, Sunset: 8:28pm. By June 24th, by one minute of daylight gone. Sunrise 5:23am, Sunset 8:28pm. BTW - Winter Solstice Sunrise: 7:13am, Sunset: 4:29pm. -
Why Did we have Fire in the Sky on Tuesday June 23rd? - Updated by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman
I want to thank everyone for the pictures and video on my Twitter and Facebook page.
So How did the sky turn a Fiery Red and an Amazing Yellow Hue on Tuesday evening. It all has to do with the scattering of Light. Light and Energy we get from the Sun.
What happens to the Sun's incoming Solar radiation as it enters the Earth's Atmosphere.
Scattering of Light compared to reflection.
As the sun's rays come through the atmosphere the light is scattered - Dust and different molecules in the atmosphere scatters light differently because of their different sized wavelengths. Blue has a shorter, smaller wavelength and the eye is able to see the blue - this actually is why the sky is blue.
When the sun is lower on the horizon - the sun's rays are now going through more of the atmosphere. At this point, the human eye is able to see the longer wavelengths red and yellow. See image below. So on TUESDAY EVENING - you had the sun low on the horizon and you had warm, humid air - plus water molecules from the thunderstorms. The wavelengths were being scattered all over the place, and we had such a wide range of color.
If you notice in the Summer we have more hazy reddish colors in the sky. The warm humid air (ozone, water, dust molecules - scatters light more) in the summer help scattered (bend) light providing Long Island with those awesome sunrises and sunsets we all love. The less moisture in the air like in winter you will notice a brighter bluer sky.
video of sky and rainbow - https://www.facebook.com/News12MeteorologistRichHoffman/videos/vb.124217491377/10153026442966378/?type=2&theater
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Forecast Update by Meteorologist Rich Hoffman 9am Thursday June 25th 2015.
For the 1st Full weekend of Summer, we have some changes coming our way. Yes, we do have some periods of rain - but it will not be a washout. So what can we expect - Best Time Frame for Drier weather - Friday Evening into Saturday morning, and late afternoon on Sunday. Best Time frame for Periods of Rain - Friday Morning, noon Saturday through 11am Sunday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny skies giving way to afternoon clouds. Winds Northwest/West 5 to 10 mph. Highs near 82. Sunset 8:28
TONIGHT: Mostly Cloudy skies. A few spotty showers. Winds Southwest shifting to East-Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Lows near 65. Sunrise: 5:23am.
TOMORROW: Mostly Cloudy skies with scattered showers. Some dry breaks in the afternoon, chance of afternoon shower. Cooler. Winds Northeast 5 to 15 mph. Highs near 73.
TOMORROW NIGHT: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, slight chance of shower. Lows 58 to 63.
SATURDAY: Cloudy skies. Periods of rain, showers and drizzle developing. Highs 68 to 73.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain. Lows 60 to 65.
SUNDAY: Cloudy with morning rain. Breaks of sunshine in the afternoon with a chance of a few showers. Highs 72 to 77.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 60 to 65.
MONDAY; Sun and Clouds. Highs 75 to 80. Overnight will be partly cloudy. Lows 60 to 65.
TUESDAY: Mostly Sunny and Warm. Highs near 80.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 60 to 65.
WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds with late-day showers. Highs near 80. Lows near 65.
Below weather maps are for Friday morning at 8am -- For Friday morning expect clouds and showers. Better weather late Friday.
Below map is for 8pm on Friday - the Blue H is high pressure and will help bring a little drier weather for late Friday into Saturday morning.
Rainfall map for Friday morning 8am
Friday 8pm weather map
The below weather map 8pm Saturday, shows Low pressure( the red L ) moving towards Long Island - and this will bring clouds and rain for Saturday night into Sunday morning. Some breaks of sunshine Saturday morning.
Threat of some showers and drizzle towards 8pm under mostly cloudy skies.
This map shows rainfall from 8am Saturday to 8pm Saturday - Notice most of the precipitation is west of Long Island on Saturday.
rainfall map for saturday
This map show rainfall from 2pm Saturday to 2am Sunday - Most of the rain is for Saturday night.
Rainfall map
The below map is for 8am Sunday - Showing Low pressure = bad weather, clouds and rain. This storm system will move away late Sunday afternoon.
The below weather map shows Monday 8am - low pressure and bad weather moved away from Long Island - Sunshine returns for Monday and highs 70s to near 80.
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UPDATE BY METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN 7AM JUNE 29TH 2015
HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY: BE ALERT AND CAREFUL AT OCEAN BEACHES.
DON'T SWIM ALONE, swim near lifeguards GET HELP WITH ANY RESCUES! Don't attempt an ocean rescue if you are a poor swimmer.Use a flotation device in all water rescues. If you can swim, swim along the beach out of the rip and then to shore.while still in shallow water. YELL AND WAVE FOR HELP
Please follow these 3 Water Safety Rules to Stay Safe at the Beach!!!
If caught in a rip current
What is a rip current?
http://www.ripcurrents.noaa.gov/index.shtml
Rip Current Video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-z7_2J7dGL0
There are different types of rip currents. You may be familiar with a few that repeatedly occur at your favorite beach. Most of the time they're unpredictable, so it's always best to swim in front of lifeguards.
ESCAPING RIP CURRENTS.
The most important thing to do if you feel yourself getting pulled away from shore in a rip current is to stay calm. If you can, swim to the left or right (parallel to shore) to escape the current. Then swim back towards the shore. If you cannot escape, yell and wave your arms for help. Always swim with a buddy and stay in front of the lifeguards.
Today's risk of rip currents on ocean facing beaches is HIGH. Get the latest surf forecast from the National Weather Service here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/srf/srfDisplay.php
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UPDATE BY: Matt Hammer at 9AM on Sunday July 19th 2015
SCORCHER OF A SUNDAY TO CLOSE THE WEEKEND:
The last time we saw a high of 90 degrees at Islip MacArthur Airport was July 20th, 2013 - almost two YEARS ago! Today's forecast high is 89 degrees - it's going to be a close call. Regardless, any way you look at it today will be a hazy, hot and humid day across Long Island.
The map below shows that an AIR QUALITY ALERT is in effect today across Long Island with a HEAT ADVISORY for NYC and areas north and west where it will feel close to 105 degrees at time today:
The Air Quality Alert suggests you limit any strenuous outdoor activities, especially people with respiratory issues, the elderly and your pets. It is very important to stay hydrated today!
We also continue to have a very high UV Index. Simply put - 15 to 20 minutes is all it could take for you to start getting a sunburn on unprotected or uncovered skin. I've often found myself not wanting to put on the sunscreen either, but it is not worth the pain and potentially other consequences.
There is a moderate risk for rip currents today. See below for full details on your beach and boating forecast.
The heat and humidity will continue into the start of the week, but how long will it last? Any storms coming our way? You can always get your full hyper-local 7 day forecast on News 12 Long Island, News12.com or on the News 12 Mobile apps on your smartphone.
Don't forget to post your Long Island summer photos to our Facebook and Twitter pages - we always look forward to seeing them and using them on-air when we can!
Have a great day and try to stay cool!
- Matt Hammer
News 12 Meteorologist
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/MattHammer12
Twitter: Http://www.twitter.com/MattHammer12
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UPDATE BY: Matt Hammer at 10AM on Saturday August 8th 2015Wonderful Weekend of Weather: Storm Stays South
As we begin this second weekend of August, we are seeing some bright sunshine and just some fair-weather clouds overhead.You may remember, earlier in the week we talked about the increasing chance of a nearby storm staying south for this weekend. That is exactly what it is doing!While this is great news and our weather stays dry this weekend because of it, we do not go entirely unscathed if you plan on heading to the Ocean beaches.RIP CURRENTS. There will be a moderate to high risk for rip currents at the Ocean facing beaches. Below are some reminders that News 12 Meteorologist Rich Hoffman posted a few weeks ago that serve as great tips for someone who does end up getting caught in one of those dangerous rip currents.
Boaters: There won't be any advisories posted through the weekend as waves will generally max out around four feet and wind gusts should only reach around 20 Kts. If you were to be travelling down the New Jersey shore, south of say Toms River, it's a much different story with Small Craft Advisories posted there. The area of low pressure south of us will be staying around 200-300 miles away through the weekend, keeping us just below advisory level criteria for the Ocean waters locally.
Outside of that, it really is a tremendous weekend of weather. If you suffer from seasonal allergies much like I do, we are mostly in luck today. You can see the latest allergy info below:
We can definitely use some rain! Long Island is still considered to be in a "moderate drought" (see the image below from the National Weather Service)
However, there is some rain on the way that should help dig into that drought number just a bit. It's looking more and more likely that Tuesday is going to be a washout. The futurecast image below from just one of our computer guidance models is for early Tuesday morning as moderate to heavy rain approaches Long Island.
Expect showers and thunderstorms with periods of heavy rain possible throughout the day. It gets much better for the rest of the week after that. For that hyper-local seven day forecast, watch News 12 Long Island, download the News 12 app to your smartphone or get it any time right here at: http://longisland.news12.com/weatherPlease help me out by liking my Facebook page and following me on Twitter if you have a second - remember to send us your summer pictures from all over Long Island - thanks and have a great weekend!Matt HammerNews 12 MeteorologistFacebook: www.facebook.com/MattHammer12Twitter: www.twitter.com/MattHammer12 -
Tropical Storm Danny
Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the eastern Atlantic. Current winds at around 50 mph but it is expected to become
a hurricane within 48 hours as it moves to the west.
Here is the latest from the National Hurrican Center
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents -
Weather Update by METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN AUGUST 24TH 11AM 2015.
Atlantic Basin Tropical Season - June 1st to November 30th
As of August 24th at 8am - 4 named storms - 1 Major Hurricane (Danny)
1. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/
2. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/com/weatherreadynation/hurricane_preparedness.html#.VWdMq2OoquL
3. Red Cross - http://www.redcross.org/news/article/Hurricane-Season-Has-Arrived--Are-You-Ready
4. Nassau County - https://www.nassaucountyny.gov/1634/Hurricane-Preparedness
5. Suffolk County - http://scoem.suffolkcountyny.gov/OEM/HurricanePlanningandPreparation.aspx
Recap of the 2015 season so far - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2015&basin=atl
As of 8am on August 24th Danny was a Tropical Depression - As of 11am it's now the remnants.
See below map for possible tracks from different weather models.
The biggest impact with Danny will be heavy rain and flooding in Caribbean. it appears the system will weaken to a strong low pressure with heavy rains and impact Florida. if the storm is able to get into a favorable environment - IE over open water for an extended period of time, and little wind shear - it is possible Danny could become a Tropical Storm again. NO Impact to Long Island in the next 7 days.
Another possible tropical system in the next 24 hours. In the below map, area marked 1. This area of low pressure could be a tropical depression and then Tropical Storm Ericka in the next 48 hours.
Area one is Invest 98 L
Here are the forecast computer models for the storm.
This storm is more likely to be out in the Atlantic by next week so we will have to watch closely - As of now, it could impact Bermuda.
For updates on the tropical season - come back to this page and check out -
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Update 8am August 28 2015 By METEOROLOGIST RICH HOFFMAN
4 years ago today - Tropical Storm Irene made Landfall at 9am in Brooklyn over Coney Island with winds of 65 mph, below the 74 mph of a Hurricane. The last direct hit from a Hurricane to Long Island. Gloria in September of 1985.
We had 1 to 7 inches of rain and winds gust to near 90 mph. Major flooding along the South Shore. We also had a tornado -
EF0 IN SUFFOLK COUNTY...
LOCATION...BABYLON/WEST ISLIP AREA TO WYANDANCH/DEER PARK AREA
DATE...AUGUST 28, 2011
ESTIMATED TIME...450 AM EDT TO 454 AM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...75 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...ONE EIGHTH OF A MILE
PATH LENGTH...4 MI WITH INTERMITTENT TOUCHDOWNS
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.70N/73.32W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.75N/73.35
*FATALITIES...0
*INJURIES...0
Here is a link to PHOTOS of the Damage. - http://longisland.news12.com/multimedia/photos-hurricane-irene-5-years-ago-1.10775976
(Credit: Getty Images/ Joe Raedle)
HAMPTON BAYS, NY - AUGUST 28:
(Credit: Getty Images/ Mike Stobe)
LONG BEACH, NY - AUGUST 28:
Credit: Getty Images/ Mike Stobe)
WESTBURY, NY - AUGUST 28:
Full report on IRENE - http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/StormEvents/storm08282011.html
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UPDATE AT 9AM AUGUST 28TH 2015 BY METEOROLOGIST RICH
For Some summer break is now over and it's back to school and work. As we wrap up August and head into September, temperatures will be above normal through the next 7 days.
TODAY: Mostly Sunny skies, a few passing clouds. Winds Northwest shifting to South 5 to 10 mph. Highs near 80. UV Index is High. Low risk for rip currents. Waves around 2 feet. Water Temperatures in the 70s. Sunset: 7:31pm.
TONIGHT: Mostly Clear and Comfortable. Winds Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Lows near 64. Sunrise 6:17am.
TOMORROW: Mostly Sunny. A little more humid. Winds South 5 to 10 mph. Good beach day. Highs 80 to 85.
TOMORROW NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 65 to 70.SUNDAY: Sun and Clouds. Warm and Humid. Highs 83 to 88.
SUNDAY NGIHT: Partly cloudy. A little muggy. Lows 67 to 72.MONDAY: Sun and Clouds. Warm/Hot and Humid. Highs 83 to 90.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Warm and Muggy. Lows 67 to 72.TUESDAY: Happy Meteorological Fall (Sept-Oct-Nov) - welcome to September. Sun and Clouds. Warm/Hot and Humid. Highs 83 to 90.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Warm and Muggy. Lows 67 to 72.WEDNESDAY: Sun and Clouds. Warm/Hot and Humid. Highs 83 to 90. Warmest areas will be in Nassau County.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Warm and Muggy. Lows 67 to 72.THURSDAY: Mostly Sunny. A little less humid. Highs near 84.
Below is weather map for Saturday at 8am - The Blue H is High Pressure and that means dry, sunny weather.Weather Map below is 8am Sunday. Warmer a few more clouds - Humid - Highs in the 80s. The heavy rain in Florida is with tropical storm Erika.
The 7 day rain totals show Long island is basically very little rain - but heavy rain along the South East Coast because of Tropical Storm Erika. Long island really needs the rain. We are more than 8 inches below normal in Precipitation.
The rain is Florida is all depending on the track of ERIKA - Get the update forecast on ERIKA here - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/115331.shtml?5-daynl#contents
The below weather map show surface weather conditions for the next 7 days. High pressure near Long Island keeps the storms away. This is why will we see very little rain the next 7 day.
Warm and Humid for the Start of September - 80s to close to 90.Temperatures for Friday September 4th - You can see the warm weather continues over the Northeast including Long Island as temperatures will be in the 80s. Normal average high is 78 for September 4th.
Have a great weekend. Best wishes meteorologist rich hoffman
